{
  "dataset": "UK Regular Forces July-ended 12-month intake, outflow and voluntary-outflow headline research",
  "release": {
    "version": "1.0.0",
    "editorialReviewed": "2026-10-16",
    "endYear": 2026,
    "startYear": 2020,
    "scope": "12 months ending 30 June each year; all UK Regular entrants/leavers and separate voluntary trained/trade-trained outflow",
    "isLiveFeed": false,
    "licence": "https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/"
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "mod-july-2020",
      "year": 2020,
      "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2020/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2020",
      "section": "Intake and Outflow; Voluntary Outflow (VO) Rate; official release and year-specific revisions",
      "population": "UK Regular Forces intake and outflow; trained RN/RM, RAF and trade-trained Army for VO rate",
      "units": "people and percentage"
    },
    {
      "id": "mod-july-2021",
      "year": 2021,
      "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2021/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2021",
      "section": "Intake and Outflow; Voluntary Outflow (VO) Rate; official release and year-specific revisions",
      "population": "UK Regular Forces intake and outflow; trained RN/RM, RAF and trade-trained Army for VO rate",
      "units": "people and percentage"
    },
    {
      "id": "mod-july-2022",
      "year": 2022,
      "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2022/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2022",
      "section": "Intake and Outflow; Voluntary Outflow (VO) Rate; official release and year-specific revisions",
      "population": "UK Regular Forces intake and outflow; trained RN/RM, RAF and trade-trained Army for VO rate",
      "units": "people and percentage"
    },
    {
      "id": "mod-july-2023",
      "year": 2023,
      "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2023/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2023",
      "section": "Intake and Outflow; Voluntary Outflow (VO) Rate; official release and year-specific revisions",
      "population": "UK Regular Forces intake and outflow; trained RN/RM, RAF and trade-trained Army for VO rate",
      "units": "people and percentage"
    },
    {
      "id": "mod-july-2024",
      "year": 2024,
      "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2024/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2024",
      "section": "Intake and Outflow; Voluntary Outflow (VO) Rate; official release and year-specific revisions",
      "population": "UK Regular Forces intake and outflow; trained RN/RM, RAF and trade-trained Army for VO rate",
      "units": "people and percentage"
    },
    {
      "id": "mod-july-2025",
      "year": 2025,
      "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2025/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2025",
      "section": "Intake and Outflow; Voluntary Outflow (VO) Rate; official release and year-specific revisions",
      "population": "UK Regular Forces intake and outflow; trained RN/RM, RAF and trade-trained Army for VO rate",
      "units": "people and percentage"
    },
    {
      "id": "mod-july-2026",
      "year": 2026,
      "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2026/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2026",
      "section": "Intake and Outflow; Voluntary Outflow (VO) Rate; official release and year-specific revisions",
      "population": "UK Regular Forces intake and outflow; trained RN/RM, RAF and trade-trained Army for VO rate",
      "units": "people and percentage"
    }
  ],
  "observations": [
    {
      "start": "2019-07-01",
      "end": "2020-06-30",
      "year": 2020,
      "intake": 15250,
      "outflow": 14310,
      "netFromRoundedHeadlines": 940,
      "voluntaryOutflowCount": 6890,
      "voluntaryRatePct": 5.4,
      "serviceVoluntaryRatePct": {
        "navy": 4.8,
        "army": 5.9,
        "raf": 4.8
      },
      "officialNetNote": "Official narrative reports +940 (matches headline subtraction).",
      "sourceId": "mod-july-2020",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2020/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2020"
    },
    {
      "start": "2020-07-01",
      "end": "2021-06-30",
      "year": 2021,
      "intake": 17350,
      "outflow": 12870,
      "netFromRoundedHeadlines": 4480,
      "voluntaryOutflowCount": 5040,
      "voluntaryRatePct": 3.8,
      "serviceVoluntaryRatePct": {
        "navy": 4,
        "army": 3.9,
        "raf": 3.6
      },
      "officialNetNote": "Official narrative reports +4,480 (matches headline subtraction).",
      "sourceId": "mod-july-2021",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2021/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2021"
    },
    {
      "start": "2021-07-01",
      "end": "2022-06-30",
      "year": 2022,
      "intake": 12600,
      "outflow": 15520,
      "netFromRoundedHeadlines": -2920,
      "voluntaryOutflowCount": 6760,
      "voluntaryRatePct": 5.1,
      "serviceVoluntaryRatePct": {
        "navy": 5.3,
        "army": 5.3,
        "raf": 4.4
      },
      "officialNetNote": "Official narrative reports -2,930; rounded arithmetic is -2,920.",
      "sourceId": "mod-july-2022",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2022/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2022"
    },
    {
      "start": "2022-07-01",
      "end": "2023-06-30",
      "year": 2023,
      "intake": 10470,
      "outflow": 16460,
      "netFromRoundedHeadlines": -5990,
      "voluntaryOutflowCount": 8500,
      "voluntaryRatePct": 6.5,
      "serviceVoluntaryRatePct": {
        "navy": 6.5,
        "army": 6.4,
        "raf": 6.8
      },
      "officialNetNote": "Official narrative reports -5,960; rounded arithmetic is -5,990.",
      "sourceId": "mod-july-2023",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2023/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2023"
    },
    {
      "start": "2023-07-01",
      "end": "2024-06-30",
      "year": 2024,
      "intake": 11940,
      "outflow": 15710,
      "netFromRoundedHeadlines": -3770,
      "voluntaryOutflowCount": 8080,
      "voluntaryRatePct": 6.4,
      "serviceVoluntaryRatePct": {
        "navy": 5.9,
        "army": 6.8,
        "raf": 5.9
      },
      "officialNetNote": "Official narrative reports -3,770 (matches headline subtraction).",
      "sourceId": "mod-july-2024",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2024/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2024"
    },
    {
      "start": "2024-07-01",
      "end": "2025-06-30",
      "year": 2025,
      "intake": 13520,
      "outflow": 14020,
      "netFromRoundedHeadlines": -500,
      "voluntaryOutflowCount": 6890,
      "voluntaryRatePct": 5.6,
      "serviceVoluntaryRatePct": {
        "navy": 5.4,
        "army": 6.1,
        "raf": 4.6
      },
      "officialNetNote": "Official narrative reports -500 (matches headline subtraction).",
      "sourceId": "mod-july-2025",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2025/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2025"
    },
    {
      "start": "2025-07-01",
      "end": "2026-06-30",
      "year": 2026,
      "intake": 14500,
      "outflow": 13050,
      "netFromRoundedHeadlines": 1450,
      "voluntaryOutflowCount": 5800,
      "voluntaryRatePct": 4.8,
      "serviceVoluntaryRatePct": {
        "navy": 4.7,
        "army": 5,
        "raf": 4.2
      },
      "officialNetNote": "Official narrative reports +1,460; rounded arithmetic is +1,450.",
      "sourceId": "mod-july-2026",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-2026/quarterly-service-personnel-statistics-1-july-2026"
    }
  ],
  "caution": [
    "Intake/outflow counts describe all UK Regulars during preceding twelve months. They are not the number of applications or admissions success rate.",
    "Voluntary-outflow counts and rates relate to trained/trade-trained personnel; percentage denominator is average relevant trained strength, not all-service personnel or applicants.",
    "Differences computed from rounded intake/outflow values may disagree with official text by 10–30 persons.",
    "Annual windows end on 30 June and are not equivalent to financial year April–March results or 1 July personnel stocks.",
    "Royal Navy and Royal Marines share a category in the source; recruitment requirements and personal readiness cannot be inferred."
  ]
}